Principios para enfrentarse al nuevo orden mundial: Por qué triunfan y fracasan los países

Principios para enfrentarse al nuevo orden mundial: Por qué triunfan y fracasan los países

  • Downloads:5763
  • Type:Epub+TxT+PDF+Mobi
  • Create Date:2022-06-18 02:51:36
  • Update Date:2025-09-06
  • Status:finish
  • Author:Ray Dalio
  • ISBN:8423433498
  • Environment:PC/Android/iPhone/iPad/Kindle

Summary

From the #1 New York Times bestselling author of Principles and legendary investor Ray Dalio, who has spent half a century studying global markets, The Changing World Order examines history’s most turbulent economic and political periods to reveal why the times ahead will likely be radically different from those we’ve experienced in our lifetimes。

A few years ago, renowned investor Ray Dalio began noticing a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before in his fifty-year career。 They included large debts and zero or near-zero interest rates in the world’s three major reserve currencies; significant wealth, political, and values divisions within countries; and emerging conflict between a rising world power (China) and the existing one (US)。 Seeking to explain the cause-effect relationships behind these conditions, he began a study of analogous historical times and discovered that such combinations of conditions were characteristic of periods of transition, such as the years between 1930 and 1945, in which wealth and power shifted in ways that reshaped the world order。 Looking back across five hundred years of history and nine major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—The Changing World Order puts into perspective the cycles and forces that have driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history。 Dalio reveals the timeless and universal dynamics that were behind these shifts, while also offering practical principles for policymakers, business leaders, investors, and others operating in this environment。

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Reviews

Young Hoon

한 번 더 읽어봐야겠습니다。

Joaquin Francis Arias

A bit of a slow beginning, but only because its filled with so much insightful data and analysis。 Gets a lot more readable in Part II where he uses his 'determinants' of a nation's success/failure to analyze the past, present and future。 A bit of a slow beginning, but only because its filled with so much insightful data and analysis。 Gets a lot more readable in Part II where he uses his 'determinants' of a nation's success/failure to analyze the past, present and future。 。。。more

Ligia Bonetti

Ray Dalio is smart man with a clear vision on how to approach the future in terms of economic, political and social affairs。 He believes lessons from the past can help us position ourselves favorably toward the future。 Somewhat tiresome to read and too long for just one subject but never the less very interesting。

Alexandru

Very good macro economics book。 Should be mandatory read for anyone who is interested in anything regarding world economics

Stephen

Author has too much of an ego, constantly repeats himself, asks reader to take his observations on faith and the charts and graphs were not explained well or labeled precisely。 Some of his ideas seem valid but I could not stand the style any longer after 150 pages。

Marc Weber

Very eye-opening but no where near as good as Principles

Andrew

Great synthesis of historical macro trends。

Stephen

This review has been hidden because it contains spoilers。 To view it, click here。 I really struggle on how to rate this book。 I was debating about giving it 3 or 4 stars。 I thought it was good, and thought provoking。 I think the author makes a lot of good point and provides some wonderful data。 I think his assessment of the United States is pretty spot on and raises concerns about our widening political divid, the weakening of our economy, the growing debt, and the raise of populism。 The only reason for 3 stars was I felt the book fell short in a couple of ways。1。 Scope: the I really struggle on how to rate this book。 I was debating about giving it 3 or 4 stars。 I thought it was good, and thought provoking。 I think the author makes a lot of good point and provides some wonderful data。 I think his assessment of the United States is pretty spot on and raises concerns about our widening political divid, the weakening of our economy, the growing debt, and the raise of populism。 The only reason for 3 stars was I felt the book fell short in a couple of ways。1。 Scope: the author assigned himself a large scope, which he then assumes that some items will take place again。 He does provide evidence for his thought, and I generally agreed with his assessments。 But it was probably to simplify to much。2。 He talked a lot about China, which was really good, however he painted a really rosy picture of the county growth and potential, while ignoring several of the large issues。 He does not mention the aging population, it’s problems with natural resources (like water), and the weakness of its market (like housing)。 He also nearly mentions the human rights issues that china is struggling with。3。 It was written from the point of view of some who manages large investments。 Many of the points made in the book are about how to make major future investments。 Though likely helpful for some, most of us do not ever debate if we should put large amount toward gold or the stock market, or which countries currency we should invest in。Overall, I would give this book a positive recommendation and I enjoyed it。 。。。more

Wade Wang

Book started slow and is probably twice as long as it needs to be。 I most enjoyed the second half of the book where Ray walks through historical empires and there was some good commentary on the US/China relationship。

Tõnu Vahtra

Continuing on the path of making sense of the world on macro level。 To jump to the end then according to Dalio it's currently a matter of US VS China global domination while the former is on declining and latter on rising trend, but both have their risks。 The biggest factor for domination being having the world's reserve currency, which so far has moved from Netherlands to UK to US。 One also cannot forget the impact of natural disasters, pandemics and wars (!) which appear as black swans。 It is Continuing on the path of making sense of the world on macro level。 To jump to the end then according to Dalio it's currently a matter of US VS China global domination while the former is on declining and latter on rising trend, but both have their risks。 The biggest factor for domination being having the world's reserve currency, which so far has moved from Netherlands to UK to US。 One also cannot forget the impact of natural disasters, pandemics and wars (!) which appear as black swans。 It is a good book, but a bit tiring as there is a lot of information (which is interesting) but the main theory keeps going around and around in circles and I believe is repeated a bit too many times。 “In my opinion, the greatest challenge for policy makers is to engineer a capitalist economic system that raises productivity and living standards without worsening inequities and instabilities。”6 stages of the internal cycle:Stage 1: when the new order begins and the new leadership consolidates powerStage 2: when the resource-allocation systems and government bureaucracies are builtStage 3: when there is peace and prosperityStage 4: when there are great excesses in spending and debt and the widening of wealth and political gapsStage 5: when there are very bad financial conditionsStage 6: when there are civil wars/revolutions8 determinants of wealth and power:1。 education,2。 competitiveness,3。 innovation and technology,4。 economic output,5。 share of world trade,6。 military strength,7。 financial center strength,8。 reserve currency status。Items that help make a great empire are :*leadership that is strong enough and capable enough to provide the essential ingredients for success*strong education。*strong character, civility, and a strong work ethic*low corruption and high respect for rules, such as the rule of law。*People being able to work well together, united behind a common view of how they should be together*a good system for allocating resources,*being open to the best global thinking*greater competitiveness in global markets*strong income growth*increased investments to improve infrastructure, education, and research and development*rapidly increasing productivity*new technologies*a rising and significant share of world trade*a strong military*strong and widely used currency, equity, and credit markets。*at least one of the world’s leading“Having a reserve currency is great while it lasts because it gives a country exceptional borrowing and spending power and significant power over who else in the world gets the money and credit needed to buy and sell internationally。 However, having a reserve currency typically sows the seeds of a country ceasing to be a reserve currency country。 That is because it allows the country to borrow more than it could otherwise afford to borrow, and the creation of lots of money and credit to service the debt debases the value of the currency and causes the loss of its status as a reserve currency。 The loss of its reserve currency status is a terrible thing because having a reserve currency is one of the greatest powers a country can have because it gives the country enormous buying power and geopolitical power。”“Because thinking about all of these determinants and their interactions is complex, I suggest that you keep the three big cycles in mind as the most important things to watch: 1) the cycle of good and bad finances (e。g。, the capital markets cycle), 2) the cycle of internal order and disorder (due to degrees of cooperation and fighting over wealth and power largely caused by wealth and values gaps), and 3) the cycle of external order and disorder (due to the degrees of the competitiveness of existing powers in fighting for wealth and power)。”“I were to add two more determinants to keep in mind, they would be 4) the pace of innovation and technological development to solve problems and make improvements and 5) acts of nature, most importantly droughts, floods, and diseases。”“Since governments have the ability to both make and borrow money, why couldn’t the central bank lend money at an interest rate of about 0 percent to the central government to distribute as it likes to support the economy? Couldn’t it also lend to others at low rates and allow those debtors to never pay it back? Normally debtors have to pay back the original amount borrowed (principal) plus interest in installments over a period of time。 But the central bank has the power to set the interest rate at 0 percent and keep rolling over the debt so that the debtor never has to pay it back。 That would be the equivalent of giving the debtors the money, but it wouldn’t look that way because the debt would still be accounted for as an asset that the central bank owns, so the central bank could still say it is performing its normal lending functions。 This is the exact thing that happened in the wake of the economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic。 Many versions of this have happened many times in history。 Who pays? It is bad for those outside the central bank who still hold the debts as assets—cash and bonds—who won’t get returns that would preserve their purchasing power。 The biggest problem that we now collectively face is that for many people, companies, nonprofit organizations, and governments, their incomes are low in relation to their expenses, and their debts and other liabilities (such as those for pensions, healthcare, and insurance) are very large relative to the value of their assets。”“domestic and military strength go hand in hand。 It takes money to buy guns (military power) and it takes money to buy butter (domestic social spending needs)。 When a country fails to provide adequate amounts of either, it becomes vulnerable to domestic and foreign opposition。 From my study of Chinese dynasties and European empires, I’ve learned that the financial strength to outspend one’s rivals is one of the most important strengths a country can have。 That is how the United States beat the Soviet Union in the Cold War。 Spend enough money in the right ways, and you don’t have to have a shooting war。 Long-term success depends on sustaining both the “guns” and the “butter” without producing the excesses that lead to their declines。 In other words, a country must be strong enough financially to give its people both a good living standard and protection from outside enemies。 The really successful countries have been able to do that for 200 to 300 years。 None has been able to do it forever。” 。。。more

Enrique Mañas

I like the mission of Ray Dalio at Bridgewater and his previous literary work, Principles。 However, this book is a mess riddled with errors and historical inaccuracies, and I have a hard time assigning this consequence to incompetence。 Ray Dalio has had more than one and two reviewers that should have pointed out all the nonsense。The list is long to start with: from wrong timing with some events in the WWII (you can check the Wikipedia or an encyclopedia to verify this, Ray), to mixing US presid I like the mission of Ray Dalio at Bridgewater and his previous literary work, Principles。 However, this book is a mess riddled with errors and historical inaccuracies, and I have a hard time assigning this consequence to incompetence。 Ray Dalio has had more than one and two reviewers that should have pointed out all the nonsense。The list is long to start with: from wrong timing with some events in the WWII (you can check the Wikipedia or an encyclopedia to verify this, Ray), to mixing US president mandates, and ending up with impossible conclusions ("The US speak one language because thanks to having two oceans between China and Europe and large geography without big accidents the population accommodated and become more homogenous than in Europe"。 Seriously Ray?)Ray is no more than a self-appointed King using his influence and reaches to push his agenda。 Do not expect honesty in the book。 Do not expect any rigor。 The few interesting takes here and there do not compensate with the large amount of, I might say, lies you will find in between。 。。。more

MF

EducationalPlainly writtenLengthy

Walter Cavinaw

If I had not read a number of books on "macrohistory" then I would have rated this a 5 star book, and it would have been one of the greatest books of all time。But, like Dalio, I have also been diving deep on this topic in recent years。 I've been working my way through books and ideas about how the world evolves over time and the causal mechanisms underlying historical change。 It illuminates the flaws in Dalio's thinking。The Changing World Order does two things really well。 It provides an excelle If I had not read a number of books on "macrohistory" then I would have rated this a 5 star book, and it would have been one of the greatest books of all time。But, like Dalio, I have also been diving deep on this topic in recent years。 I've been working my way through books and ideas about how the world evolves over time and the causal mechanisms underlying historical change。 It illuminates the flaws in Dalio's thinking。The Changing World Order does two things really well。 It provides an excellent (truly excellent) overview of the major changes and puts them into a neat intuitive framework。 I agree with many of his determinants and the effect they had on world events。 Education leads to innovation, leads to growth, leads to dominance, leads to complacency, etc etc。 The book gives a good intuition for dynamics and how change in one variable leads to another。 It also provides ideas for how to make decisions。I will also say that this book gave me a newfound respect and obsession about Dalio。 The way he words things and phrases them helped me finally see that he has a deep appreciation for epistomology。 It's hard to see because he intentionally uses clear and simple language (which is a good way to write)。 As an example, the way he describes a model as a way the world works, requiring both empirical evidence and coherence with intuition is something you can only learn and know from struggling with this issues for years (and after reading a lot of J。S。 Mill, Popper, etc along the way)。But I have big issues with the book。 The mechanics of historical change are oversimplified, often comically so, in order to fit a story and also to set him up nicely for his view of the future (China becomes the new global power, the dollar declines, technological innovation accelerates)。 I don't necessarily disagree but the way he gets their is riddled with holes: Education leads to innovation, innovation leads to growth and superiority。 China is investing in (and catching up in) education and innovation therefore they will dominate。 What about the fact that the US was made up of immigrants who were not well educated? What about the lack of a central government to direct investment top down? How did the Netherlands dominate spain, england dominate the netherlands, and the us dominate england? And how exactly does inequality lead to class conflict?I also struggle with these questions but it was not because of anything the government did。 In fact each of these communities had an almost dissident ideology that favored the individual pursuit of a better life and each had increasingly freer markets that allocated resources more effectively。 It was a bottom up process of economic interaction。 Great book, but less meat than other (admittedly more dense) books on the topic。 。。。more

Brian

To get the caveats out of the way first, there are two aspects to this book that are undeniably weird: 1) the self-confidence/hubris required to write so unequivocally about the “timeless and universal truths” gleaned from studying all of human history。 And 2) the way he writes about China goes beyond non-judgmental to borderline hype man。 Nonetheless, this IS a pretty comprehensive and convincing overview of how empires rise and fall, and a strong case that we in the US are probably in the late To get the caveats out of the way first, there are two aspects to this book that are undeniably weird: 1) the self-confidence/hubris required to write so unequivocally about the “timeless and universal truths” gleaned from studying all of human history。 And 2) the way he writes about China goes beyond non-judgmental to borderline hype man。 Nonetheless, this IS a pretty comprehensive and convincing overview of how empires rise and fall, and a strong case that we in the US are probably in the late innings of ours。 Definitely worth reading for investors just as a macro framework to, as Dalio says (despite the chutzpah required to write thing) take or leave。 。。。more

Sharang Limaye

There's some interesting information here hidden amongst tons of boring and repetitive detail。 Dalio subjects his readers to a meandering, textbook-like narrative that attempts to trace commonalities between the rise and fall of the Dutch and the British empires while hinting at a similar fate for American hegemony。 He tries so hard to make the Chinese look like an all-conquering race, one may not be faulted to assume he is a card-carrying CCP member。 Joke aside, Dalio's objectivity surely seems There's some interesting information here hidden amongst tons of boring and repetitive detail。 Dalio subjects his readers to a meandering, textbook-like narrative that attempts to trace commonalities between the rise and fall of the Dutch and the British empires while hinting at a similar fate for American hegemony。 He tries so hard to make the Chinese look like an all-conquering race, one may not be faulted to assume he is a card-carrying CCP member。 Joke aside, Dalio's objectivity surely seems a little hazy given that he doesn't find anything amiss in China's abysmal human rights record or their total lack of transparency in the handling of the pandemic。 For this reader, the brightest spot in this otherwise dull book is the comparison between the strengths and weaknesses of the top nations, that, ironically, only finds space in the appendix。 Now wasn't that supposed to be what the book was all about in the first place。。 。。。more

Nilufar Khaydarova

I think this book might be one of the most information-rich books written for 2020-2050 years。 I believe the author has done his research absolutely well and his perspective on things has changed the way i think of economics and politics and everything。This was my first book on politics, thus I found the book to be either too long or too difficult or too boring。 Can’t decide。 Maybe I will understand it in later years, but for now i don’t have that much of an opinion about it。

Mehul Sheth

Thick book written with increasing depth which makes it repetitive。 You can get the general concepts on one level, dive into those details for a second level and finally, if truly motivated can read through Part 2 which goes through the last 500 years of history。

Colin

Amazing macro view of world dynamics through economies and conflicts。 Helps understand what is valuable to the rise or fall of a country on an individual, national, and global level。

Mihai Chindris

I really enjoyed listening to its audiobook version。 The pace was just perfect and the narrators did a tremendous job in delivering the story。 I have to say that my interests and affinities do not really encompass the subject of history, but the way this book treated the economical development of the world (and not only that) through the means of past centuries upon recent times, made me get comfortable with the topic at hand and honestly changed quite a lot of perspectives of mine regarding 'th I really enjoyed listening to its audiobook version。 The pace was just perfect and the narrators did a tremendous job in delivering the story。 I have to say that my interests and affinities do not really encompass the subject of history, but the way this book treated the economical development of the world (and not only that) through the means of past centuries upon recent times, made me get comfortable with the topic at hand and honestly changed quite a lot of perspectives of mine regarding 'the world order'。 It was pleasant, thought provoking and insightful, overall。 It managed to illuminate my mind, thing that most other books that I have read did not succeed to do in this regard。 。。。more

Riley

A great wealth of information about the comings and goings of global governing bodies, packaged and tied up neatly with a pretty little bow。Ray Dalio perfectly connects all of his ideas through a round table motion of topics that are efficiently hand picked for the book’s ultimate purpose; From the rise and fall of glorious and incredibly lavish empires, to the explanation of why such governments do not last more than about 300 years, to what we should be looking out for and acting upon so that A great wealth of information about the comings and goings of global governing bodies, packaged and tied up neatly with a pretty little bow。Ray Dalio perfectly connects all of his ideas through a round table motion of topics that are efficiently hand picked for the book’s ultimate purpose; From the rise and fall of glorious and incredibly lavish empires, to the explanation of why such governments do not last more than about 300 years, to what we should be looking out for and acting upon so that it does not happen amidst our own。I highly recommend to all aspiring politicians, or those with legal and economical mindsets! 。。。more

Ignas Petrusis

Jei iskesit knygos pradzia, kur Ray kalba ta-pati-per-ta-pati, tai gausit gera istorijos ir ekonomikos skaitala

Ethan Gilworth

The first part is excellent and worth the price of admission alone。 It does drag towards the end, and I have to say his dissection of China lacks quite a bit of nuance。 But overall I would recommend。

Oren Mizrahi

incredible book。 simultaneously detailed and analytical, complex and readable, hopeful and disturbing。 i look forward to reading history through dalio’s lens in the future。

Hugh Mc

Nice balance on the importance of US-China world order changes。 Was waiting for the piece on digital assets and how a more open source internet could add to an ever-changing world order

Emilian

Very good book that makes you understand much better the current global geopolitics and current situation in Ukraine。 Also to be followed by "The New Map by Daniel Yergin" Very good book that makes you understand much better the current global geopolitics and current situation in Ukraine。 Also to be followed by "The New Map by Daniel Yergin" 。。。more

Sally Westlake

*audiobook

Eugene Belkin

A thoroughly researched and well laid out book detailing the world orders (Chinese, Dutch, British, American) from the perspective of economic cycles。

Oskar Lis

Wow。 Z drugiej strony, kto inny miał się zdobyć na napisanie takiego opracowania, jeśli nie Ray Dalio。 Niezwykle utalentowany inwestor, zarządzający jednym z największych funduszy hedgingowych na świecie - Bridgewater Associates, doskonały analityk, ale w omawianym kontekście przede wszystkim autor "Zasad" - książki, która doprowadziła mnie do szału。 Jednak to, co było irytującą wadą tamtego dzieła - obsesyjne skupienie na metodologii badań - stanowi o sile "Changing World Order"。 Opracowania, w Wow。 Z drugiej strony, kto inny miał się zdobyć na napisanie takiego opracowania, jeśli nie Ray Dalio。 Niezwykle utalentowany inwestor, zarządzający jednym z największych funduszy hedgingowych na świecie - Bridgewater Associates, doskonały analityk, ale w omawianym kontekście przede wszystkim autor "Zasad" - książki, która doprowadziła mnie do szału。 Jednak to, co było irytującą wadą tamtego dzieła - obsesyjne skupienie na metodologii badań - stanowi o sile "Changing World Order"。 Opracowania, w którym Dalio zadaje sobie pytanie, jak wygląda cykl rozwoju i upadku państw。Jest taki cytat z Michaela Hopfa, przytaczany nierzadko w mediach społecznościowych:"Hard times create strong men, strong men create good times, good times create weak men, weak men create bad times"Jest to chyba najbliższe jednozdaniowemu podsumowaniu książki Dalio。 Trzeba oddać autorowi, że tę życiową prawdę, którą każdy z nas wyczuwa niejako podświadomie obserwując politykę, gospodarkę i społeczeństwo, ale też wielopokoleniowe cykle świetności i upadków rodzin (w znakomitej większości, oszałamiające fortuny zostały zbudowane przez osoby pochodzące ze skrajnej biedy, jednak rzadko kiedy udaje się rodzinny majątek utrzymać, nie mówiąc o rozwinięciu, przez okres choćby trzech pokoleń), udowodnił za pomocą liczb, statystyk i logicznych wywodów。 A dokonał tego, tytaniczną pracą, analizując szczegółowo historię ostatnich 500 lat。 Jest to jednak badanie z pozycji ekonomicznych i społecznych, ze szczególnym uwzględnieniem aspektu monetarnego, nie zaś suche spojrzenie na przełomowe bitwy i następujące po sobie dynastie。 Na czynniki pierwsze rozłożył m。in。 takie wskaźniki jak edukacja, konkurencyjność, technologie i innowacje, produkcja gospodarcza, udział w handlu światowym, siła militarna, siła finansowa, status waluty rezerwowej i wiele innych。Wyłania się z tego obraz czegoś, co autor określa jako "wielki cykl wzrostu i upadku", przez który w ostatnich 500 latach przeszły kolejno dziesiątki państw, ale przede wszystkim wielkie imperia i ich waluty rezerwowe - holenderskie (gulden), brytyjskie (funt szterling) i amerykańskie (dolar)。 Zbliżamy się do schyłku tego ostatniego, obserwując jednocześnie wzrost potęgi Chin (renminbi)。U zarania cyklu mamy do czynienia z państwem biednym i społeczeństwem pracowitym, oraz zdeterminowanym, do zmiany swojego statusu。 Możemy mówić o ogromnej produktywności, konkurencyjności cenowej i wysokiej etyce pracy。 Zadłużenie jest niewielkie, waluta zyskuje na wartości, a finanse publiczne odznaczają się zdrowiem。 Czynniki te prowadzą do rozwoju gospodarczego i z początku powolnego, a następnie dynamicznego bogacenia się obywateli。 Prowadzi to do inwestycji w edukację, infrastrukturę, badania。 Inwestycje te stają się kołem zamachowym dalszego rozwoju。 Struktura zatrudnienia zmienia się, ale rozwój nadal jest dynamiczny。 Waluta państwa staje się światową walutą rezerwową。 Docieramy do szczytowego okresu rozwoju。 Okres ten może trwać wiele lat。 Tu jednak zaczynają się pierwsze problemy。 Efektywność pracy spada, mamy do czynienia z pierwszymi przejawami dekadencji społecznej - ludzie chcą pracować mniej, a wydawać więcej。 Wzrasta zadłużenie。 Rośnie stopień konfliktu wewnętrznego。 Ujawniają się nieistniejące wcześniej podziały。 By utrzymać nieefektywny system gospodarczy, coraz bardziej psuje się walutę。 Pompuje się wydatki militarne, dla utrzymania swojej potęgi。 Na arenie międzynarodowej pojawiają się konkurenci, rzucający rękawicę。 U schyłku następuje colaps systemu, najczęściej wewnętrzny, rewolucja i cykl może rozpocząć się od nowa。I choć rzeczony wielki cykl wydawać się może zbiorem wniosków tyleż oczywistych, co przewidywalnych, ich bezbłędna powtarzalność we wszystkich znanych nam imperiach, w różnych czasach, pod każdą szerokością geograficzną, tworzy niezwykle dojmujący obraz, swoiście kasandrycznego wzoru。 Dlaczego mając tę wiedzę, nie można uniknąć katastrofalnych konsekwencji? Po części dlatego, że wielki cykl to minimum 150 - 200 lat。 Znacząco dłużej niż życie jakiejkolwiek osoby。 Nikt na własnej skórze nie doświadcza go więc w całości i trzeba posiłkować się rozbudowaną wiedzą historyczną。 A z tym jak wiadomo bywa słabo wśród elit skoncentrowanych na najbliższym cyklu wyborczym。 Po wtóre, wzór ten determinowany jest tak przytłaczającą ilością czynników, przede wszystkim społecznych, że nawet posiadając tę wiedzę, niewiele można z tym zrobić。 Odwrócenie tego trendu wymagałoby bowiem bolesnych reform, a z tym jak wiadomo nie po drodze żadnemu, zwłaszcza demokratycznemu liderowi。Co zatem możemy zrobić, poza rozpłakaniem się? Wykorzystać te informacje w naszych decyzjach inwestycyjnych, biznesowych i politycznych。 Rozumienie trendów i nie granie przeciwko nim to już połowa sukcesu。 Nie warto wpadać też w panikę。 Spójrzmy bowiem na Londyn, czy Amsterdam - w tych miastach nie żyje się chyba aż tak tragicznie, jak mógłby na to wskazywać status stolicy "byłego imperium"。 Wreszcie - według wszystkich dostępnych danych, Polska jest w okresie dynamicznego budowania swojej potęgi。 Cieszmy się więc chwilą, bo to najlepszy historycznie okres, żeby gdzieś żyć。 Książka świetna - bardzo polecam。 。。。more

Paweł Krz

Świetna książka, dużo się nauczyłem, ale jedna z trudniejszych jakie czytałem w ostatnim roku

Antonio

This is great book! There is a lifetime of research of financial upside and downs on global scale and through almost 2000 years of history in it。 The author is renowned financial expert and in order to become one he researched long cycles of history in order to predict future of financial events。 There are main cycles and they're connected to great and global super powers which hold reserve currency。 The story follows global powers from Holland empire, through British empire and to United States This is great book! There is a lifetime of research of financial upside and downs on global scale and through almost 2000 years of history in it。 The author is renowned financial expert and in order to become one he researched long cycles of history in order to predict future of financial events。 There are main cycles and they're connected to great and global super powers which hold reserve currency。 The story follows global powers from Holland empire, through British empire and to United States empire。 Big cycles begin with transition from one empire to another。 According to Ray Dalio we are witnessing possible transition from the era of US empire to China empire。。。Every big cycle consists of seven stages and we are now in stage five。。。This is my assessment of this book The Changing World Order by Ray Dalio according to my 8 criteria:1。 Related to practice - 5 stars 2。 It prevails important - 4 stars 3。 I agree with the read - 5 stars4。 not difficult to read (as for non-English native) - 4 stars 5。 Too long (more than 500 pages) - concise (150-200 pages) - 3 stars6。 Boring - every sentence is interesting - 4 stars7。 Learning opportunity - 4 stars8。 Dry and uninspired style of writing - Smooth style with humouristic and fun parts - 4 stars Total 4。125 stars 。。。more